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Local Land Use Decisions, NIMBYism Are Leading Causes Behind Southern California’s Lack of Housing Production Across Price Levels

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Region is Further Behind Other Locations in Developing Lower-Income Housing; New Study Recommends Zoning Based on Existing Demand 
April 11, 2019— RIVERSIDE, Calif. (www.ucr.edu) — Local land use and zoning laws, as well as opposition to development by residents, are primary obstacles to building badly needed housing across Southern California, according to a new analysis released today by the UCR School of Business Center for Economic Forecasting and Development. The report examines Southern California’s progress under the state’s Regional Housing Needs Assessment (RHNA), which mandates how many and what types of housing units each jurisdiction in California needs to allocate and plan for in order to meet local housing needs at all levels of affordability.
Compared to all jurisdictions in the state, Southern California turns in an ‘average’ performance in terms of complying with RHNA’s reporting requirements but that is not indicative of average or more housing production. The analysis examines the Southern California Association of Governments’ jurisdiction under RHNA, which includes Imperial, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura Counties. To date, across these areas, less than 30% of the housing units mandated by RHNA for all affordability levels have been permitted for building.
“Because of the sheer size of the region, that statistic helps to illustrate just how chronically behind most jurisdictions in California are in terms of developing new housing,” said Adam Fowler Director of Research at the Center for Economic Forecasting and one of the report authors. “We’re now halfway through the current 8-year RHNA cycle and ideally would want to see a number closer to 50%.”
Fowler and his co-author Hoyu Chong a Senior Research Associate at the Center, emphasize that the Southern California region studied in the analysis is especially critical because it is home to more than 70% of the state’s population.
Given the dominant share of residents who live in the region, and California’s acute housing shortage, it’s particularly problematic that the analysis finds the area is further behind in producing low- and moderate-income housing. In fact, the only housing units that have seen significant progress, and are closer to meeting the RHNA mandate, are units that are affordable for those with above-moderate-income levels. Across the six-county Southern California jurisdiction, more than half (52%) of these units have been permitted compared to just 9% of very-low-income, 9% of low-income, and 16% of moderate-income units. Looked at another way, 77% of all the housing units permitted within the region under the current cycle have been for the above-moderate-income level despite the fact that just 42% of the units mandated by RHNA are allocated for that level.
The same general pattern persists in all of the six counties except Imperial, where just 4% of housing units for above-moderate-income households have been permitted versus 30% for moderate-income households. Los Angeles County has the worst imbalance, with 5 out of every 6 housing units permitted falling within the above-moderate-income level, even though just 3 out of every 7 housing units mandated by RHNA are allocated for that level.
According to the analysis, the key reasons behind the lack of housing production across income levels, but especially among lower-income units, include local opposition to development and local zoning and land use laws that are simply not conducive to developing affordable housing. Within the Southern California jurisdiction, for example, the median minimum lot size is bigger than in the rest of California. Moreover, both the minimum and maximum number of single-family homes allowed per acre is lower, and the minimum unit size is considerably bigger.
“There are some really fundamental obstacles facing Southern California and jurisdictions across the state in terms of developing smaller, denser, less expensive housing,” says Fowler. The study’s authors argue that local jurisdictions should take steps that include redefining housing needs, developing zoning regulations based on existing demand, and aligning housing development with projected demographic changes.
The new report follows an analysis released by public policy group Next 10 that examined all the state’s RHNA jurisdictions and found most to be behind in permitting new homes and significant numbers not participating in the reporting process at all.
The complete analysis, California’s Housing Crisis: Goals and Production in Southern California, is available here.
The UC Riverside School of Business Center for Economic Forecasting and Development is the first major university forecasting center in Inland Southern California. The Center is dedicated to economic forecasting and policy research focused on the region, state, and nation. Learn more at UCREconomicForecast.org

The Inland Empire Business Journal (IEBJ) is the official business news publication of Southern California’s Inland Empire region - covering San Bernardino & Riverside Counties.

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Commercial Real Estate

Gantry Secures $17M for Riverside Grocery Retail

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Loan Stabilizes Riverside Neighborhood Center Featuring Ralph’s, Wells Fargo Bank, and Mix of Dining, Service, and Retail Tenants; Lenders Continue to Target Grocery Retail Allocations

Gantry, the largest independent commercial mortgage banking firm in the U.S., has secured a $17 million permanent loan to refinance Magnolia Towne Center, a 133,000-square-foot grocery-anchored retail center offering 10-buildings located at 6033-6189 Magnolia Ave in the city of Riverside, Calif. The neighborhood center features a Ralph’s grocery store, Wells Fargo Bank, Restaurant, and professional services tenants. Ownership is currently in the process of leasing 27,000 square feet at the center, with retail specialists Strategic Real Estate Advisors (SRA) handling the assignment.

Gantry’s James Ruiz, Senior Director, with the firm’s Irvine production office secured the funding of behalf of the borrower, a private real estate investor. The 10-year, fixed rate, life company loan was provided by one of Gantry’s life company correspondents and features 30-year amortization and prepayment flexibility.

According to Gantry’s James Ruiz, “Neighborhood grocery-anchored retail space has remained a prioritized allocation for Gantry’s roster of life company correspondents and many other permanent debt capital sources. This is a well-managed property with experienced sponsorship that was facing a pending CMBS maturity while in the process of backfilling some space at the otherwise stabilized property. Conservative leverage, demonstrated performance, and professional management allowed Gantry to review this loan against several of our top lenders, ultimately landing on a fixed-rate permanent loan that met our client’s legacy investment goals. Notably, the borrower achieved an exceptionally low spread while successfully meeting its objective for cash out without a holdback, a testament to the strategic partnership between Gantry and our valued clients.”

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Commercial Real Estate

CBRE Negotiates $14 Million Sale of Ariana at El Paseo in Palm Desert

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The deal is one of the largest in Palm Desert over the last decade

CBRE arranged the $14 million sale ($222,222 price per unit) of 63-unit Ariana at El Paseo in Palm Desert, Calif., to Investment Concepts, Inc. CBRE’s Eric ChenKevin SinBlake TorgersonDean Zander and Stew Weston represented the seller, 45278 Deep Canyon Road, in the transaction.

“Our team successfully marketed this unpriced property to investors,” said Mr. Chen, executive vice president. “Our team generated multiple competitive offers resulting in the largest multifamily transaction in Palm Desert over the last eight years. The owner passed away last year, and her trustee was tasked with selling this asset. The owner has generously donated all proceeds to various charities.”

The boutique apartment homes are located at 45278 Deep Canyon Road and offer a mix of studio, one- and two-bedroom floorplans, averaging 865 sq. ft. Each unit features a fully equipped kitchen, vinyl plank flooring, oversized patios and balconies, central air and heating, and large closets. The community amenities include a resort-style pool, on-site laundry facilities, an outdoor lounge and fireplace area, a pet play area and BBQ stations.

“This immaculately maintained property is a generational quality asset in the growing Coachella Valley submarket. The Coachella Valley has seen some of the highest rent growth in all pockets of the Inland Empire in the past few years due to increased economic growth in the region. Multifamily fundamentals remain strong in the area with the restriction of supply coming into the market,” added Mr. Sin.

According to CBRE research, Coachella Valley has one of the lowest vacancy rates in the Inland Empire, at 4.3%, second only to Redlands. In the first quarter of the year, the submarket also saw a 1.9% year-over-year rent change.

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Commercial Real Estate

36th Street Partners Acquires Value-Add Multi-Tenant Industrial Asset near Ontario International Airport

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36th Street Partners announces today it has acquired a 17,360-square-foot (sf) multi-tenant industrial property located at 1804 to 1828 E. Elma Court in Ontario, Calif. for $3.48 million.

Built in 1982 and situated on a 1.3-acre parcel that is zoned for light industrial use, the property includes 13 units that are 100% occupied with tenants using the spaces for office and warehouse purposes.

“We saw this asset as an ideal opportunity to create value by renovating units upon lease expiration and bringing rents to market rates,” said Adam Norvell, Founder & Managing Partner of 36th Street Partners. “The property is in a coveted infill Inland Empire West location just north of Ontario International Airport with little to no new comparable product nearby due to it being cost-prohibitive. If anything, supply is decreasing as institutional groups are demolishing these smaller industrial buildings to developer larger single-tenant product.”

He noted that the property also has a condominium map in place, providing the ability to sell the units individually to small users as one potential exit strategy.

36th Street’s equity partner on the deal is JW Capital, a Los Angeles-based family office focused on real estate, media, entertainment and technology opportunities. Brian Tressen of Martin Associates represented 36th Street Partners in the transaction. The seller, a private owner, was represented by Tony Guglielmo of Allied Commercial Real Estate.

36th Street Partners is actively pursuing value-add industrial and IOS acquisitions in Southern California, ideally targeting assets valued at $10 million or more.

Norvell added, “The investment landscape will be very attractive for new acquisitions over the next 12 to 24 months. Pricing has adjusted significantly, and deals are starting to make sense in this higher interest rate environm

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