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CALIFORNIA EMPLOYMENT SEES WEAKER GAINS IN FIRST MONTH OF 2019; ANNUAL REVISION SHOW MOST STATE INDUSTRIES REMAIN ON TRACK Unemployment Inches Up As Labor Force Continues Growth

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March 11, 2019—LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA—Today’s release from Beacon Economics and the UC Riverside School of Business Center for Economic Forecasting and Development includes analysis and commentary on both the January employment numbers and the annual benchmark revision from the California Employment Development Department (EDD).

 

January Numbers
California began 2019 with a weaker than normal monthly gain in January, increasing payrolls by 3,000 in the latest numbers from the California EDD. The yearly pace of growth slowed as well, with the state adding 246,400 jobs from January 2018 to January 2019, an increase of 1.4%. This represents a slightly slower rate of growth than in December 2018 when jobs increased by a revised 1.6% year-over-year, and is behind the national growth rate of 1.9% year-over-year as of January.
California’s unemployment rate inched up to 4.2% in January, a 0.1 percentage point increase from December. However, the driving force behind this increase was an uptick in the state’s labor force, which grew by 50,200 during the month. In yearly terms, the labor force grew by 1.5%, continuing an accelerating trend that began in mid-2018.
”California began 2019 much as it ended 2018, with the unemployment rate in record low territory and industry job gains that have been led by health care, professional and business services, and leisure and hospitality,” said  Robert Kleinhenz  Executive Director of Research at Beacon Economics and the UCR Center for Forecasting. “Looking through the rest of the year, signs point toward continued growth at the state level, with most of California’s regions remaining on track as compared to last year.”

 

Key Findings:
  • Health Care was responsible for the most job gains this month, adding 5,600 positions during  January. This sector has exhibited steady gains for some time, with a year-over-year increase of 2.4% or 56,000 positions.
  • Administrative Services followed Health Care with an increase of 2,800 jobs in January. With these gains, year-over-year growth for the sector reached 2.7%, well above the statewide average of 1.4%. Other sectors having a strong month were, Government (+2,400 positions), Professional, Scientific & Technical Services (+1,700 positions), and Information (+1,400 positions).
  • Despite steady gains for the state overall, a number of sectors shed positions in December. Declines were strongest in Retail Trade, which shed 5,500 positions. Other sectors that lost positions during the month were Education (-3,000 positions), Finance and Insurance (-1,600 positions), Wholesale Trade (-1,400 positions), along with Other Services, Construction, Logistics, and Management of Enterprises.
  • While growth was spread across the state in January, it was strongest in the San Francisco Bay Area. San Jose added the most positions both statewide and in the Bay Area in the latest numbers, increasing payrolls by 5,100. This was followed by San Francisco (MD) (+3,900), the East Bay (+1,200), Santa Rosa (+400), and Vallejo (+200). From a year-over-year perspective, growth has been the fastest in San Francisco (MD) (3.8%), followed by San Jose (2.4%), Napa (1.5%), the East Bay (1.3%), Santa Rosa (1.1%), and Vallejo (0.5%).
  • In Southern California, Orange County added the most positions in January with a gain of 4,200 jobs. San Diego followed with an increase of 100 jobs. The remaining metro areas lost jobs, with Los Angeles shedding 2,600 positions, Riverside down by 2,100 jobs, and Oxnard losing 400 positions. From a year-over-year perspective, growth was fastest in the Inland Empire (1.7%), followed by San Diego (1.5%), El Centro (1.2%), Orange County (1.0%), Ventura County (0.8%), and Los Angeles (0.7%).
  • In the Central Valley, Sacramento added the most positions in January, increasing payrolls by 900 jobs. Growth in Sacramento was followed by Merced (+700), Fresno (+600), and Bakersfield (+400). From a year-over-year perspective, growth has been the fastest in Fresno (3.2%), Sacramento (2.7%), Bakersfield (2.3%), and Madera (2.1%).
  • Along the Central Coast, Santa Barbara added the most positions in January, increasing payrolls by 800 jobs. This was followed by Santa Cruz where payrolls increased by 700 positions during the month, and Salinas (+500). From a year-over-year perspective, growth has been strongest in Salinas (2.8%) and Santa Barbara (2.8%), followed by Santa Cruz (1.1%), and San Luis Obispo (0.8%).
Annual Benchmark Revision
The annual benchmark revision from the California EDD did not change top-level growth. From 2017 to 2018, year-over-year growth averaged 2.0% before and after the revisions. However, there were more payroll positions in 2017 and 2018 than previously estimated, with average monthly employment levels 53,600 higher in the revised figures.

At the industry level, the benchmark revision was mixed, with some sectors seeing growth rates rise and others seeing their growth rates revised downward. The largest increases in year-over-year growth rates from 2017 to 2018 occurred in Mining and Logging (0.3% original to 3.9% revised), Management (0.6% original to 3.2% revised), Other Services (-0.2% original to 1.3% revised), Logistics (3.7% original to 4.9% revised), Real Estate (1.5% original to 2.4% revised), and Manufacturing (0.5% original to 1.2% revised).

The largest declines in year-over-year growth rates from 2017 to 2018 were in Leisure and Hospitality (2.7% original to 1.7% revised), Retail Trade (0.5% original to -0.1% revised), Finance and Insurance (0.1% original to -0.4% revised), Government (1.2% original to 0.9% revised), and Educational Services (3.5% original to 3.1% revised).

The EDD’s annual benchmark revision was also mixed at the metro level, with some areas seeing significant gains in their growth rates and others experiencing declines compared to earlier estimates. The largest increases in year-over-year growth rates from 2017 to 2018 were in Hanford (0.8% original to 3.0% revised), Napa (0.3% original to 2.3% revised), Sacramento (1.8% original to 3.1% revised), San Francisco (MD) (1.9% original to 3.1% revised), and Orange County (1.0% original to 1.9% revised).

The largest declines in year-over-year growth rates from 2017 to 2018 were in Merced (3.9% original to 1.4% revised), Santa Cruz (2.5% original to 0.6% revised), Visalia (2.4% original to 0.9% revised), San Jose (3.3% original to 1.9% revised), and San Rafael (MD) (1.9% original to 0.8% revised).

The Inland Empire Business Journal (IEBJ) is the official business news publication of Southern California’s Inland Empire region - covering San Bernardino & Riverside Counties.

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Career & Workplace

California Employment Gains Pick Up in the Latest Numbers

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Hollywood Strike Effects: Job Sector That Houses Motion Picture and Sound Recording Sees Largest Decline

California’s labor market grew modestly in the latest numbers, with total nonfarm employment in the state expanding by 23,100 positions in August, according to an analysis released today by Beacon Economics. July’s gains were revised down to 8,900, a 19,000 decrease from the preliminary estimate of 27,900.

“It was a bit of mixed bag during August, with the largest regions in California both gaining and shedding jobs,” said Taner Osman, Research Manager at Beacon Economics. “However, following a couple of slower months, employment gains did pick up, which sets the state up nicely as we enter a seasonally strong part of the year.”

As of August 2023, California has recovered all of the jobs that were lost in March and April 2020 due to the pandemic. There are now 447,600 more people employed in the state compared to February 2020. Total nonfarm employment has grown 2.5% since that time compared to a 2.7% increase nationally. From August 2022 to August 2023, California increased payrolls by 1.9%, trailing the 2.0% increase nationally over the same period.

The state’s unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.6% in August 2023. California’s unemployment rate is elevated relative to the 3.8% rate in the United States overall. The state is continuing to struggle with its labor supply, which fell by 18,000 in August, a decrease of 0.1% on a month-over-month basis. Since February 2020, the state’s labor force has fallen by 197,500 workers, a 1.0% decline.

Industry Profile  

  • At the industry level, job gains were mixed. The Health Care sector led the way with payrolls expanding by 11,400, an increase of 0.4% on a month-over-month basis. With these gains Health Care payrolls are now 9.0% above their pre-pandemic peak.
  • Government was the next best performing sector, adding 5,200 jobs, a month-over-month increase of 0.2%. With these gains, Government payrolls are now just 1.2%, or 32,500 jobs, below their pre-pandemic peak.
  • Other sectors posting strong gains during the month were Construction (4,700 or 0.5%), Administrative Support (3,800 or 0.3%), Other Services (3,800 or 0.6%), Leisure and Hospitality (2,800 or 0.1%), Education (2,600 or 0.6%), Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities (1,400 or 0.2%), and Manufacturing (1,300 or 0.1%).
  • Payrolls decreased in only a handful of sectors in August. Information saw the largest declines with payrolls falling by 9,000, a drop of 1.5% on a month-over-month basis. This decline was driven by the ongoing strikes in Motion Picture and Sound Recording, which has shed 15,200 positions over the last year, a 9.0% decline. Other sectors posting declines during the month were Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
    (-3,800 or -0.3%), Wholesale Trade (-1,100 or -0.2%), and Finance and Insurance (-800 or -0.1%).

Regional Profile

  • Regionally, job gains were led by the San Francisco Bay Area. The East Bay experienced the largest increase, with payrolls expanding by 2,700 (0.2%) positions in August. Santa Rosa (700 or 0.3%), San Rafael (MD) (200 or 0.2%), Vallejo (200 or 0.1%), and Napa (100 or 0.1%) also saw payrolls expand during the month. On the other hand, San Francisco (MD) (-1,200 or -0.1%) and San Jose (-500) experienced payroll declines. Over the past 12 months, the East Bay (2.5%) and Napa (2.5%) saw the fastest job growth in the region, followed by San Francisco (MD) (2.4%), San Rafael (MD) (2.3%), Santa Rosa (2.2%), San Jose (2.0%), and Vallejo (1.8%).
  • In Southern California, Orange County saw the largest increase, where payrolls grew by 7,100 (0.4%) during the month. San Diego (2,800 or 0.2%) and the Inland Empire (2,400 or 0.1%), also saw their payrolls jump. On the other hand, Los Angeles (MD) (-10,300 or -0.2%) and Ventura (-200 or -0.1%) experienced payroll declines during the month. Over the past year, San Diego (2.0%), Orange County (2.0%), and Los Angeles (MD) (2.0%) have enjoyed the fastest job growth in the region, followed by Ventura (1.6%), El Centro (1.2%), and the Inland Empire (0.6%).
  • In the Central Valley, Sacramento experienced the largest monthly increase as payrolls expanded by 2,700 (0.2%) positions in August. Payrolls in Fresno (1,100 or 0.3%), Stockton (800 or 0.3%), Hanford (400 or 0.9%), Redding (300 or 0.4%), Chico (200 or 0.3%), and Yuba (200 or 0.4%) also saw their payrolls jump. On the other hand, Bakersfield (-2,100 or -0.7%), Visalia (-900 or -0.6%), Merced (-500 or -0.7%), and Modesto (-200 or -0.1%) had payrolls fall during the month. Over the past year, Hanford (38%) enjoyed the fastest growth, followed by Yuba (3.7%), Sacramento (2.4%), Redding (2.0%), Fresno (1.9%), Merced (1.8%), Chico (1.7%), Stockton (1.4%), Madera (1.4%), Visalia (1.0%), Bakersfield (0.7%), and Modesto (-1.1%).
  • On California’s Central Coast, Salinas (1,000 or 0.7%) added the largest number of jobs. Santa Cruz (100 or 0.1%) also saw payrolls increase during the month. On the other hand, Santa Barbara (-1,000 or -0.5%) saw payrolls fall during the month. From August 2022 to August 2023, Salinas (4.7%) has added jobs at the fastest rate, followed by San Luis Obispo (3.8%), Santa Barbara (2.9%), and Santa Cruz (2.0%).
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Bizz Buzz

Colton Resident Receives Free College Tuition and Books Through Walmart’s Education Program

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By Saul Martinez, Contributing Writer for IEBJ

#bizzbuzz

This year marks the five-year anniversary of Walmart’s Live Better U (LBU) education program. Over the past five years, the company has saved associates across the country nearly half a billion in education costs, reflecting the company’s commitment to creating a path for everyone to learn and grow. In California, we’ve seen 5,620 Walmart and Sam’s Club associates participate in Live Better U over the past five years.

One such success story is Robert Gay, who lives in Colton, CA, and earned his college degree – fully paid for by Walmart. Robert was stuck in a stagnant position at his previous company, hindered by the absence of a degree that prevented him from advancing further. However, upon discovering the Live Better U benefits offered by Walmart, he decided to take a leap of faith and join their team with the intention of completing his degree. After successfully graduating with a bachelor’s degree in October 2020, he now takes immense pride in his accomplishment of accepting a promotion to associate general manager. Throughout his journey, Robert received overwhelming support from his local team, who not only empathized with his workload challenges but also aided when needed.

Most individuals typically encounter Walmart through its retail outlets. The Inland Empire Business Journal had the opportunity to explore a consolidation center of Walmart situated in Colton, California. Our visit left us deeply impressed by the remarkable cleanliness and impeccable condition of the facility, almost reminiscent of a high-end showroom.

While on the tour, we observed the diligent measures taken by the leadership to maintain employee motivation and awareness regarding the daily, weekly, and monthly performance Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) of the facility. These KPIs were prominently displayed on digital monitors throughout the premises. The Colton leadership created a mascot and call their team the Colton Eagles.

We found ourselves deeply impressed by this aspect of Walmart, which is often hidden from public view. Walmart unquestionably stands out as a company that not only offers excellent career opportunities but also boasts a remarkable 100% tuition reimbursement program. If you are seeking a career in the Inland Empire, this proves to be an exceptional workplace choice.

Whether someone is chasing their first job or the opportunity that will define their career, Walmart is committed to creating pathways of opportunity for everyone.  

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Business

Entertainment Industry Strikes: Job Numbers in Los Angeles Take a Hit

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State Labor Force Bumps Up… Finally

 California’s labor market grew only modestly in June (the latest numbers), with total nonfarm employment in the state expanding by 11,600 positions, according to an analysis released today by Beacon Economics. May’s gains were also revised down to 38,200, a 9,100 decrease from the preliminary estimate of 47,300.

“Job growth has slowed in the state over the past couple of months,” said Taner Osman, Research Manager at Beacon Economics. “This month’s job losses in Los Angeles are also noteworthy, following the strikes that are now occurring in the entertainment industry. As the largest labor market in the state, the strikes, which primarily affect the Los Angeles area, could act as a drag on state employment in the coming months.”

As of June 2023, California has recovered all of the jobs that were lost in March and April 2020, and there are now 417,300 more people employed in California compared to pre-pandemic February 2020. Total nonfarm employment in the state has grown 2.4% over this time compared to a 2.5% increase nationally. Annually, California increased payrolls by 2.2% from June 2022 to June 2023, trailing a 2.5% increase nationally.

California’s unemployment rate increased to 4.6% in June 2023, up 0.1 percentage-points from the previous month, and the state’s unemployment rate remains elevated relative to the 3.6% rate in the United States overall. California’s labor force grew by 13,600 in June, an increase of 0.1% on a month-over-month basis. Since February 2020, the state’s labor force has fallen by 157,300 workers, a 0.8% decline.

Industry Profile  

  • At the industry level, gains were mixed. Leisure and Hospitality led payroll increases in June, expanding by 6,800, a jump of 0.3% on a month-over-month basis. With these gains, Leisure and Hospitality payrolls are now just 0.2%, or 5,100 jobs, below their pre-pandemic peak.
  • Construction was the next best performing sector, adding 6,000 jobs, a month-over-month increase of 0.7%. Construction payrolls are now up 1.0% on a year-over-year basis.
  • Other sectors posting strong gains during the month were Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (4,900 or 0.3%), Education (4,200 or 1.0%), Health Care (2,800 or 0.1%), Information (900 or 0.2%), and Finance and Insurance (300 or 0.1%).
  • Payrolls decreased in only a handful of sectors in June. Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities had the largest declines in June, with payrolls falling by 4,500, a decline of 0.5% on a month-over-month basis. Other sectors posting losses during the month were Administrative Support (-4,400 or -0.4%), Retail Trade (-1,700 or -0.1%), Wholesale Trade (-1,400 or -0.2%), and Other Services (-1,100 or -0.2%).

Regional Profile

  • Regionally, job gains were led by the San Francisco Bay Area. San Jose experienced the largest increase, with payrolls expanding by 4,700 (0.4%) positions in June. San Francisco (MD) (3,100 or 0.3%), the East Bay (1,100 or 0.1%), Santa Rosa (300 or 0.1%), and Vallejo (200 or 0.1%) also saw payrolls expand during the month. Over the past 12 months, San Francisco (MD) (3.0%) has experienced the fastest job growth in the region, followed by San Jose (2.9%), Napa (2.8%), the East Bay (2.1%), Vallejo (2.1%), Santa Rosa (2.0%), and San Rafael (MD) (1.6%).
  • In Southern California, San Diego saw the largest increase, where payrolls grew by 5,700 (0.4%) during the month. The Inland Empire (600 or 0.0%) and El Centro (100 or 0.1%) also saw their payrolls jump. On the other hand, Los Angeles (MD) (-3,900 or -0.1%) and Ventura (-1,400 or -.4%) experienced declining payroll during the month. Over the past year, San Diego (3.1%), Orange County (2.4%), and Los Angeles (MD) (2.3%) have enjoyed the fastest job growth in the region, followed by El Centro (2.1%) Ventura (1.7%), and the Inland Empire (0.8%).
  • In the Central Valley, Sacramento experienced the largest monthly increase, as payrolls expanded by 1,100 (0.1%) positions in June. Merced (900 or 1.3%), Bakersfield (300 or 0.1%), Fresno (300 or 0.1%), Stockton (300 or 0.1%), and Madera (200 or 0.5%) also saw their payrolls jump during the month. Over the past year, Hanford (4.1%) has had the fastest growth, followed by Fresno (3.2%), Madera (2.9%), Visalia (2.8%), Sacramento  (2.7%), Yuba (2.6%), Bakersfield (2.1%), Modesto (1.8%), Chico (1.7%), Stockton (1.6%), Merced (1.1%), and Redding (1.0%).
  • On California’s Central Coast, Salinas (500 or 0.3%) added the largest number of jobs. Santa Barbara (200 or 0.1%) also experienced payroll increases during the month. On the other hand, payrolls declined in Santa Cruz (-500 or -0.5%) and San Luis Obispo (-200 or -0.2%). From June 2022 to June 2023, Salinas (4.0%) added jobs at the fastest rate, followed by San Luis Obispo (3.7%), Santa Barbara (3.1%), and Santa Cruz (2.8%).
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