Labor Force Grows But Long Term Struggle With Worker Supply Continues

 California’s labor market continued to expand in April, with total nonfarm employment in the state growing by 67,000 positions over the month, according to an analysis released today by Beacon Economics. March’s gains were also revised up to 11,900 in the latest numbers, a 3,200 increase from the preliminary estimate of 8,700.

“California accounted for roughly one-quarter of the jobs added in the nation during April,” said Taner Osman, Research Manager at Beacon Economics. “Despite all the talk of tech-sector lay-offs, the state’s economy has had a strong start to the year, adding jobs at a quicker rate than the nation as a whole.”

As of April 2023, California has recovered all of the jobs that were lost in March and April 2020, and there are now 365,400 more people employed in the state compared to February 2020, the month before pandemic-related employment losses occurred. Total nonfarm employment in the state has grown 2.1% since the pre-pandemic peak compared to a 2.2% increase nationally. Annually, California increased payrolls by 2.4% from April 2022 to April 2023, trailing the 2.6% increase nationally over the same period.

California’s unemployment rate increased to 4.4% in the latest numbers, which is elevated relative to the 3.4% rate in the United States overall. California is continuing to struggle with its labor supply, which grew by 32,700 in April, an increase of 0.2% on a month-over-month basis. Since February 2020, the state’s labor force has fallen by 196,400 workers, a 1.0% decline.

Industry Profile  

• At the industry level, job gains were broad based. Health Care led the way in April, with payrolls expanding by 18,200 in that sector, an increase of 0.7% on a month-over-month basis. In other words, Health Care accounted for just over one in four of the net jobs added in the state in April. Health Care payrolls are now up 5.3% on a year-over-year basis.
• Leisure and Hospitality  was the next best performing sector, adding 13,100 jobs, a month-over-month increase of 0.6%. Leisure and Hospitality payrolls are now down just 1.1% since February 2020 and they are on track to fully recover in the coming months.
• Other sectors posting strong gains during the month were Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities (5,800 or 0.7%), Retail Trade (5,400 or 0.3%), Government  (4,500 or 0.2%), Other Services  (4,000 or 0.7%), and Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services (3,800 or 0.3%).
• Payrolls decreased in only two sectors in April, and these declines were minor. The only sectors with job losses were Wholesale Trade (-900 or -0.1%) and Mining and Logging (-100 or -0.5%).

Regional Profile

• Regionally, job gains were led by Southern California. Los Angeles (MD) saw the largest increase, where payrolls grew by 21,500 (0.5%) during the month. Orange County (8,900 or 0.5%), the Inland Empire (4,400 or 0.3%), San Diego (4,200 or 0.3%), Ventura (900 or 0.3%), and El Centro (100 or 0.2%) also saw their payrolls jump during the month. Over the past year, El Centro (3.4%) has enjoyed the fastest job growth in the region, followed by Orange County (3.1%), San Diego (3.0%), Los Angeles (MD) (2.5%), Ventura (2.0%), and the Inland Empire (1.0%).
• In the San Francisco Bay Area, the East Bay experienced the largest increase, with payrolls expanding by 6,400 (0.5%) positions in April. San Francisco (MD)  (1,600 or 0.1%), San Rafael (MD) (1,100 or 1.0%), Santa Rosa (1,000 or 0.5%), and Vallejo (800 or 0.6%) also saw payrolls expand during the month. Over the past 12 months, Napa (3.5%) experienced the fastest job growth in the region, followed by San Jose (3.1%), Santa Rosa (3.0%), San Francisco (MD) (2.9%), Vallejo (2.4%), the East Bay (1.9%), and San Rafael (MD) (1.3%).
• In the Central Valley, Sacramento experienced the largest monthly increase as payrolls expanded by 6,900 (0.6%) positions in April. Payrolls in Modesto (1,200 or 0.6%), Stockton (1,200 or 0.4%), Bakersfield (900 or 0.3%), Fresno (500 or 0.1%), Visalia (400 or 0.3%), Merced (300 or 0.4%), and Yuba (300 or 0.6%) also saw their payrolls jump during the month. Over the past year, Yuba (3.8%) had the fastest growth, followed by Hanford (3.6%), Fresno (3.2%), Madera (3.1%), Redding (3.1%), Visalia (3.0%), Modesto (2.6%), Sacramento (2.5%), and Stockton (2.2%).
• On California’s Central Coast, Salinas (700 or 0.5%) added the largest number of jobs. Santa Cruz (300 or 0.3%) and Santa Barbara (300 or 0.2%) also saw payrolls increase during the month. From April 2022 to April 2023, Salinas (3.78%) added jobs at the fastest rate, followed by Santa Cruz (3.4%), San Luis Obispo (2.9%), and Santa Barbara (2.5%).